The grain harvest in Russia, according to various estimates, will decrease in the range of 1-2 million tons due to bad weather in Siberia and the Urals. This opinion was expressed by respondents TASS experts that does not coincide with the position of the Ministry of agriculture of the Russian Federation (Ministry of agriculture).

Previously in the Ministry of agriculture statedthat the harvest forecast office will leave at the level 104,2 million tons.

"Bad weather coming in the regions of Siberia and the Urals, will not have a material effect on the cleaning of grain crops in the country and the adjustment of the forecast of the gross grain harvest in 2014", - told in the Ministry.

However, experts of the Institute for agricultural market studies (IKAR) has already reduced the forecast of grain harvest in Russia in 2014 with 104 million tons to 102 million tons in test weight not including Crimea, Crimea - 105 million tons, and 103 million tonnes, respectively.

"This forecast will be lower due to unfavorable weather conditions and prolonged harvest, "said TASS analyst grain market ICARUS Evgeny Zaytsev.

The other specialists of the analytical Agency "Prozerno also reduced the forecast of grain harvest in Russia from 104 to 103 million tons. "I reduced the harvest forecast in the Asian part due to losses during harvesting", - explained TASS Director General of the Agency Vladimir Petrichenko.

"Export cleaner"

"Reports of adverse weather conditions in several regions of the world, including in the East of Russia, combined with concerns over the condition of winter warmed up world prices for Russian grain," said TASS Deputy Director of strategic marketing Department of "Rusagrotrans" Igor Pawinski.

According to him, this has led to the growth of quotations of the Russian wheat (FOB) on the world market in the week from 20 to 24 October at $10 per ton to $246-248 and accelerate the export of Russian grain.

According to IKAR, the intensity of grain exports from Russia since the beginning of the 2014-2015 agricultural year on October 20, exceeded the level of the 2013-2014 marketing year on the same date at 33% of the Volume supplied to the external markets of grain amounted to 13.7 million tons. Such dynamics of export of grain to ICARUS called "export cleaner".

Analysts of "Rusagrotrans" believe that such dynamics will allow Russia to export in the agricultural year 2014-2015 32.5 million tons of grain. According to the forecasts of ICARUS, this indicator will be at the level of 32 million tons, according to Prozerno" - 32.2 million tons.

Previously TASS reported on 18 October on the territory of the Urals began challenging weather events. To 20 October in the South of Sverdlovsk region had the monthly norm of precipitation. Under the snow on October 28, remained about 12% of the grain.

In the Kurgan region, the authorities are preparing to declare a state of emergency for the harvesting campaign due to heavy snowfall, which took place during the weekend of 18-19 October. Under the snow was about 40% of the grain. In the Novosibirsk region on October 29 under the snow was about 2.5% of the acreage.