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According to experts, the sunflower in the second quarter of the season will rise high demand
According to the fat and oil Union, for the six months 2019 Russia sent abroad 266 thousand tons of sunflower, while in the same period last year the volume of exports did not exceed 90 thousand tons. If the current pace of external shipments continue, until the end of this year, exports of sunflower can reach 700 thousand tons, writes "Agroinvestor", referring to the opinion of the Executive Director mzhs Mikhail Maltsev.
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A sharp increase in the export of sunflower in the 2018/19 season was due to two factors, says a leading expert of the Institute for agricultural market studies (IKAR) Daniel Khotko. First, in the second half of the agricultural year from import duty was released in Turkey processors in the country was given a quota on the import of 300 thousand tons of sunflower without any fees. This allowed us to purchase raw materials at a higher price. Secondly, the main activity of the Turkish side in the procurement of Russian sunflower came in the late spring (April — may), when the excessive demand for sunflower seed in Russia was not. "Prices then stabilized at a high level, refiners had sufficient stocks. And nothing prevented the Turks have to buy a certain amount, — says the expert. But it was a one-time action next season, this should not happen, since Turkey will reimburse the fee". In addition, says Khotko, season 2019/20 will be held according to the traditional script and in terms of domestic demand for sunflower, when in the second quarter usually consists of excessive demand.

According to Rosstat, the sunflower crops in 2019 amounted to 8.5 million ha (plus 345 thousand hectares to measure in 2018). The biggest increase — in the Volga Federal district, where farmers have increased the area of 333 hectares to 3.9 million hectares In the southern Federal district sowed 52 hectares more than 1.9 million hectares, in the center of the square remained at last year's level of 1.4 million hectares.

Evaluation ICARUS, the gross yield of sunflower in 2019 could reach 12.8 million tonnes in standard weight.

By the beginning of August for sunflower was mainly favorable weather conditions, says Maltsev. "While there is reason to hope that we will get the harvest is not worse harvest last year, but the gain will likely not be" — he suggests. "Center Agrobaltika" estimates a crop of sunflower at the level of 12.52 million tons. Heat and drought in the South in may — June did not affect the potential harvest, says the head of the center Dmitry Evilcow. Crops in the major growing regions of sunflower (Rostov, Volgograd, Voronezh, Tambov regions, Krasnodar and Stavropol territories) to mid-June were better than last season at the same time, he draws attention.

According to the Ministry of agriculture on 28 August 2019, sunflower removed from 80.5 thousand hectares harvested 184,1 thousand tons with an average yield of 22.9 t/ha.

 

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Translated by service "Yandex.Translation"
Источники: Grainboard
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