Experts of the grain market changed the assessment of crop in Russia this year, but hope not. Some, despite the low grain yield at the start of the harvest in southern regions once again increased the estimate of harvest given the favourable conditions in the regions of center and Volga region, others have begun to reduce the previously made predictions.
Adjustment relates to increased moisture reserves in the major regions-producers
The new season is planned to carry out purchasing interventions
Soy continues to win the interest of Russian producers. In the 2019/20 season, the harvest of soybeans has updated max (4.36 million tons) is not only due to the expansion of cultivated areas (3 million hectares), but also due to a record yield), according to analysts at UkrAgroConsult.
Drought as a major stressor. The harvest still depends primarily on the weather, despite a number of other threats in the grain business
Season 2020/21 will develop under the influence of a number of factors. Among them, the epidemiological situation in the world, and the devaluation of the ruble and a possible decrease in demand. However, most farmers, as before, fear of negative weather events. The lack of moisture in the South has brought about changes in the volume of the collection. Crop nevertheless, while the second is expected after a record — 123 to 126 million tonnes
In the new season in the grain market there will be risks associated with the collapse of global economies
The harvest of sugar beet will decline amid the reduction in plantings and adverse weather conditions
However, the industry still has to face the serious consequences of the crisis
Center industry expertise Rosselkhozbank predicts an increase in Russia's share of the global food market
Center industry expertise Rosselkhozbank analyzed changes in the global food market in the first quarter of 2020, the Center Staff believe that the current situation gives Russia a good chance to increase its share in the export of agricultural products, including food products.
In the South portion of winter crops suffered from drought and frost
Potential gross yield in Russia is estimated at the level of 118,8 million tons
Production in the tradable sector may increase by 1.6%
The harvest of rye in Russia in 2019 was the lowest since 1965 due to the reduction in acreage to a record low 850 thousand hectares, according to a review Center for agrobaltika subordinate to the Ministry of agriculture of the Russian Federation. Last year Russia harvested 1,428 million tons of rye, which is 488 thousand tons (25.4%) lower than a year earlier.
Analysts consultancy Strategie Grains increased its forecast of production of rapeseed in the EU in the coming year by 0.2 million tons compared to the previous estimate of up to 17.9 million tons.
The Agency also notes that now need more grain on the domestic market than on foreign
While the competitiveness of domestic products is lower than foreign varieties
At the end of January 2020. sunflower stocks in agricultural organizations of the Russian Federation amounted to 1 892 million tonnes, which is 2% higher than the same date last year.
According to analysts of IA "APK-inform", in 2019, the gross harvest of rye in Russia amounted to 1.53 million tonnes, which is 20% inferior to the result of the previous season and is the lowest figure for the last 10 years.
The level of self-sufficiency in milk last year was almost 5% lower than of the doctrine of food security
Despite export growth, its volume is insufficient to solve the problem of overproduction